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Turning the tide on the Blue sea

June 18, 2021 1:45 PM
Originally published by Babergh South Suffolk Liberal Democrats

rt53It has been fashionable in recent years to talk of the "red wall" seats, Labour constituencies in the midlands and north of England that have traditionally voted Labour.

These seats are in areas where economic growth has been less strong, where an older and. More socially conservative population voted in big numbers for Brexit and where at the last election having been taken for granted for years by Labour they did the unexpected and voted in Conservative MPs

This has seen a pivot of government attention towards these new constituencies with their vague talk of levelling up ( still pretty policy free but a great ambition)

What has been less commented upon is the internal tensions this causes inside the Conservative party and in particular in its traditional heartlands of southern England (the Blue Sea). Here there is a greater concentration of university educated, socially liberal people who voted remain.

It is against this background that we should view last nights stunning victory for the Liberal Democrats in the Chesham and Amersham parliamentary By election

The Result was

LDEM: 56.7% (+30.4)

CON: 35.5% (-19.9)

GRN: 3.9% (-1.6)

LAB: 1.6% (-11.2)

REFUK: 1.1% (+1.1)

BP: 0.5% (+0.5)

FA: 0.4% (+0.4)

REU: 0.3% (+0.3)

The swing to the Liberal Democrats was over 25% ( our third biggest ever!) and to give some indication of the scale of the victory, Buckinghamshire has its first Liberal MP for over 100 years!

Our leader Ed Davey summed up the win "What was happening is people around here - and actually across the South as we found in the local elections - feel they've been ignored by the Conservatives, taken for granted."

With significant local election gains in May in counties such as Cambridgeshire, Wiltshire, Surrey and Oxfordshire it is not fanciful to say the Tory blue sea is under pressure. Last nights spectacular removal of one blue brick suggests bigger things may be afoot!

You can help us on this journey by becoming a member here or donating to the local party Make a donation to South West Wiltshire Liberal Democrats (South West Wiltshire Liberal Democrats) (swwiltshirelibdems.org.uk)